Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:48:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x088d…025e
crypto · 1440 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,157 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,156 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$1,156
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses904 / 937
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1841 / 1440
History coverage40d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day62.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1841 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,097
7 days−$1,097
14 days−$1,097
30 days−$1,065
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 42¢ 24¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-42%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 85¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 9AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -197%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 9AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$3 -143%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -287%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$7 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$3 -178%
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -1262%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -129%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +116%
XRP Up or Down - March 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$6 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -103%
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -102%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -1253%
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -191%
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -597%
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -632%
XRP Up or Down - April 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -636%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -894%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -548%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$8 -128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -460%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -1282%
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$3 -202%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$17
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $9 38m
HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $8 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $9 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $9 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-23.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 500 -47.1% -52.1% 22% 21% -53.1%
≤30d 572 -39.2% -45.0% 28% 26% -42.2%
≤90d 1841 -15.2% -23.3% 49% 47% -16.0%
all 1841 -15.2% -23.3% 49% 47% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.3% 47% -16.0%
10% ← realistic here -30.6% 38% -24.1%
15% -37.3% 30% -31.4%
20% -43.5% 22% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.45 · official $1.75 · 3500 history records