trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $3 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria | Jun 12 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 10 | $2 | $0 | -16% |
| T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent | Jun 09 | $3 | −$1 | -44% |
| ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia | Jun 09 | $5 | −$3 | -61% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva | Jun 04 | $2 | −$1 | -61% |
| Will England win? | Jun 04 | $5 | −$2 | -53% |
| Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Quetta Gladiators | Apr 02 | $6 | −$1 | -18% |
| Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | Apr 02 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | Apr 02 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitals | Apr 01 | $8 | $0 | -4% |
| T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indies | Feb 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1) | Feb 17 | $4 | −$3 | -75% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -37.8% | -43.7% | 20% | 10% | -35.8% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -41.0% | -46.7% | 17% | 8% | -39.3% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -42.7% | -48.2% | 19% | 6% | -36.9% |
| all | 18 | -49.1% | -53.9% | 17% | 6% | -41.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -53.9% | 6% | -41.1% |
| 10% | -58.4% | 0% | -46.7% |
| 15% | -62.4% | 0% | -51.9% |
| 20% | -66.1% | 0% | -56.6% |