trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 3 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| all | 28 | -17.7% | -25.5% | 43% | 4% | -18.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.5% | 4% | -18.2% |
| 10% | -32.6% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 15% | -39.2% | 0% | -33.2% |
| 20% | -45.1% | 0% | -39.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $32 | $32 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruins vs. Blue Jackets | Apr 12 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March? | Mar 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Devils vs. Capitals | Mar 20 | $202 | −$202 | -100% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 05 | $4 | $0 | -6% |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | Mar 02 | $200 | +$4 | +2% |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | Jan 28 | $196 | +$3 | +2% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | Jan 25 | $179 | +$11 | +6% |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Jan 13 | $178 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 09 | $17 | $0 | -2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 03 | $163 | +$7 | +4% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 10 | $181 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Dec 04 | $5 | +$1 | +15% |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Dec 02 | $165 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | Nov 30 | $2 | $0 | -17% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Nov 27 | $167 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | Nov 24 | $2 | −$1 | -46% |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Nov 20 | $169 | $0 | -0% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Nov 18 | $6 | −$1 | -25% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Nov 14 | $175 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Nov 06 | $167 | +$4 | +2% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 26 | $26 | −$3 | -10% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October? | Oct 22 | $149 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Oct 20 | $15 | −$4 | -25% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Oct 17 | $103 | +$4 | +4% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 15 | $156 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Oct 13 | $63 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October? | Oct 10 | $149 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 September 29-October 5? | Oct 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |