Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:35:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x086f…8bc3
crypto · 238 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,204 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,225 · open +$20
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$195
Realized−$3,225
Unrealized+$20
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses153 / 273
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)426 / 238
History coverage1d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day2660.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 426 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,225
7 days−$3,225
14 days−$3,225
30 days−$3,225
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 41¢ 38¢ $55 $52 −$3 (-6%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 100¢ $20 $43 +$23 (+117%)
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 80¢ 80¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Malta vs. Turkiye end in a draw? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Dota 2: Looking for Org vs BTC Gaming (BO3) BTC Gaming 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Perricard 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. UTEP Miners: O/U 135.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will AC Nagano Parceiro win on 2026-06-05? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06? No 57¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Will FC Ryūkyū win on 2026-06-07? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Will Netherlands vs. Poland end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Eala vs. Wang: Match O/U 22.5 Under 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Argentina vs. Iceland end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Truck Drivers vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) Truck Drivers 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05? No 44¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-06-06? No 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-05? No 9¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Jacob Chiara win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-09? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs BOSS - Map 2 Winner BOSS 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Malta vs. Turkiye end in a draw? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Dota 2: Looking for Org vs BTC Gaming (BO3) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perri Jun 13 $6 −$10 -189%
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. UTEP Miners: O/U 135.5 Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Will AC Nagano Parceiro win on 2026-06-05? Jun 13 $94 −$2 -2%
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-06-06? Jun 13 $53 −$182 -345%
Will FC Ryūkyū win on 2026-06-07? Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Netherlands vs. Poland end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Eala vs. Wang: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Argentina vs. Iceland end in a draw? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: Truck Drivers vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) Jun 13 $10 +$46 +454%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05? Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-06-06? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 13 $18 +$87 +485%
Will Jacob Chiara win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary electi Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-09? Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs BOSS - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 158.5 Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Will Finland win on 2026-06-05? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Knicks vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Slovenia vs. Germany end in a draw? Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-06-06? Jun 13 $26 −$401 -1553%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: Fancy United vs S8UL Esports (BO1) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-06-05? Jun 13 $8 +$360 +4267%
Dota 2: BAIYAWAK vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-3.5) Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-09? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-05? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-06-06? Jun 13 $10 −$4 -40%
Will Malta win on 2026-06-09? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Paraguay vs. Nicaragua end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27? Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Will Malta win on 2026-06-05? Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw? Jun 13 $82 +$33 +41%
Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Denver Pioneers vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 160.5 Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-05? Jun 13 $1 +$159 +12149%
Will Singapore vs. China PR end in a draw? Jun 13 $376 −$185 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Thespa Gunma win on 2026-06-07? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$325
other 1% +$14
sports 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $22 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $23 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $34 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $36 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $36 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $36 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $19 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $29 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $24 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $25 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $20 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $23 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $55 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $15 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $81 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $28 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $28 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $28 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $33 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $33 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $38 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $38 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $12 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $38 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $21 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 426 +23.7% +11.9% 36% 32% -20.8%
≤30d 426 +23.7% +11.9% 36% 32% -20.8%
≤90d 426 +23.7% +11.9% 36% 32% -20.8%
all 426 +23.7% +11.9% 36% 32% -20.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2660.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +11.9% 32% -20.8%
10% ← realistic here +1.2% 27% -28.4%
15% -8.6% 22% -35.3%
20% -17.5% 18% -41.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $195.45 · official $210.26 · 3500 history records