Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x082d…e6db
crypto · 1245 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,415 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,410 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$2,410
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses732 / 512
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1244 / 1245
History coverage18d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day116.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1244 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$364
7 days+$542
14 days+$418
30 days−$2,410
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 46¢ 16¢ $7 $3 −$4 (-64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$7 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$15 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$15 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$6 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $22 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$14 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $39 +$15 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $428 +$153 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$24 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$17 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $210 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$21 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $161 +$16 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,415
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $18 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $6 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $18 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $8 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $428 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $83 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $31 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 519 -11.7% -20.1% 57% 44% -7.5%
≤30d 1244 -7.1% -16.0% 59% 44% -14.4%
≤90d 1244 -7.1% -16.0% 59% 44% -14.4%
all 1244 -7.1% -16.0% 59% 44% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover116.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 44% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 39% -22.6%
15% -31.4% 34% -30.1%
20% -38.1% 29% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.51 · official $8.45 · 3500 history records