Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:47:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x081b…66af
crypto · 69 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$59 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$57 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$57
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses33 / 35
Open positions1
Markets (closed)68 / 69
History coverage82d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$26
14 days−$26
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 49¢ 36¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$9 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$13 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$16 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Mar 28 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Mar 28 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Mar 28 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Mar 28 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Mar 28 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Mar 28 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Mar 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Mar 26 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Mar 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Mar 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Mar 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Mar 26 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Mar 26 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Mar 26 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Mar 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Mar 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Mar 26 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Mar 26 $5 +$5 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Mar 25 $2 +$3 +163%
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Mar 25 $2 +$3 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Mar 25 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Mar 25 $5 +$4 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Mar 25 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Mar 25 $5 +$4 +89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$56
other 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $11 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $11 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $9 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 77d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $4 79d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 79d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 79d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 79d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 79d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 79d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 80d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -25.8% -32.9% 36% 36% -27.0%
≤30d 11 -25.8% -32.9% 36% 36% -27.0%
≤90d 68 -1.9% -11.3% 49% 49% -22.0%
all 68 -1.9% -11.3% 49% 49% -22.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.3% 49% -22.0%
10% -19.8% 47% -29.4%
15% -27.5% 47% -36.3%
20% -34.6% 43% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.24 · official $10.10 · 156 history records