Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:42:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x0814…875a
sports · 414 markets active 0h ago
7.0score
+$4,480 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,485 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized+$4,485
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses242 / 171
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Est. fees paid−$334
Open positions1
Markets (closed)413 / 414
History coverage629d
Avg bet$152
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 413 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$497
7 days−$393
14 days+$741
30 days+$1,491
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 29¢ 24¢ $30 $25 −$5 (-16%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 30¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 72¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 29¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers Challengers 63¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 69¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Fnatic 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 49¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 49¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 64¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) HANJIN BRION 46¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Falcons 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 16¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 36¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs South America Rejects 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend JD Gaming 60¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner FaZe 48¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Invictus Gaming 23¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner Karmine Corp 71¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner MIBR 18¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner Fnatic 42¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Ninjas in Pyjamas 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $361 +$104 +29%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $202 +$80 +40%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,165 +$210 +18%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $804 −$800 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $37 +$14 +38%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $242 +$40 +17%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $144 +$72 +50%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 11 $132 −$130 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 +$16 +32%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $147 +$47 +32%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$38 +188%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $20 +$19 +93%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $41 −$40 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $68 −$58 -85%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $61 −$60 -99%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $20 +$38 +188%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W Jun 10 $73 −$73 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $61 −$13 -22%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $117 +$87 +74%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $51 +$4 +7%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $24 −$24 -98%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $20 +$26 +129%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $242 +$82 +34%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $20 +$18 +89%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $31 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $18 −$18 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $51 +$11 +23%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $566 +$269 +48%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,846 +$20 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $101 +$44 +43%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $967 +$72 +8%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $202 −$200 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $67 −$66 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $401 −$195 -49%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $125 −$123 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $149 +$164 +110%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $295 +$30 +10%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $61 +$82 +134%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $574 +$262 +46%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $390 −$84 -22%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $102 −$75 -74%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $303 −$300 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $60 −$59 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $69 +$41 +60%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $61 +$17 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% +$1,095
other 22% +$3,502
crypto 12% +$271
politics 5% +$30
world 1% −$401
economics 0% −$12
weather 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 31¢ $20 10m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 26¢ $10 11m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $466 22m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $281 45m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 77¢ $361 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 71¢ $202 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 94¢ $668 12h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 78¢ $665 13h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 56¢ $101 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 57¢ $203 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 58¢ $192 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $503 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 81¢ $302 15h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 73¢ $34 16h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 37¢ $17 16h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 32¢ $17 16h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 35¢ $19 16h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 84¢ $283 16h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $242 17h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 38¢ $51 19h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $132 36h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 82¢ $67 36h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 61¢ $51 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 66¢ $144 39h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $194 39h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 66¢ $51 39h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 75¢ $147 41h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 19¢ $10 41h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 34¢ $20 45h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 51¢ $20 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 70 -11.9% -20.3% 54% 49% -12.3%
≤30d 192 +1.3% -8.4% 62% 59% -4.4%
≤90d 350 -5.5% -14.5% 57% 53% -7.7%
all 413 +0.5% -9.1% 59% 54% -2.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.1% 54% -2.9%
10% -17.8% 46% -12.2%
15% -25.7% 35% -20.7%
20% -33.0% 23% -28.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.23 · official $25.23 (match) · 1010 history records