trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 25% | 12% | -8.8% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 25% | 8% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 25% | 8% | -9.1% |
| all | 25 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 32% | 4% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.5% | 4% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -24.5% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -31.8% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -38.5% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 14 | $29 | +$5 | +16% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $29 | +$1 | +5% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 13 | $25 | −$3 | -14% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 10 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 10 | $64 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $32 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 05 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 05 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Jalen Brunson Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Livre win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative elect | May 20 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City | May 05 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? | May 05 | $12 | $0 | -3% |
| Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Apr 30 | $124 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope? | Apr 30 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope? | Apr 29 | $135 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 29 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| New Pope in 2025? | Apr 29 | $150 | $0 | +0% |
| Will DOGE audit the IRS before May? | Apr 29 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 29 | $150 | $0 | +0% |