Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:47:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x0805…1d14
sports · 185 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
−$1,787 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,804 · open +$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized−$1,804
Unrealized+$18
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses115 / 69
Est. fees paid−$246
Open positions1
Markets (closed)184 / 185
History coverage129d
Avg bet$111
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 184 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days−$88
14 days−$88
30 days−$198
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 53¢ 100¢ $20 $38 +$18 (+89%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 75¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$3 -61%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$9 +43%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -87%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $11 −$8 -73%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss S Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $40 +$7 +17%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $40 −$40 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $60 +$17 +28%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $20 +$8 +38%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$1 +17%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$1 -47%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$4 +39%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$2 +16%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$4 -76%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $20 +$39 +190%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$10 +97%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $18 −$18 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $111 −$111 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $20 +$15 +73%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$5 +54%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$4 +38%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $1 $0 +39%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner May 24 $62 +$49 +78%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner May 24 $43 +$19 +43%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner May 24 $27 +$16 +57%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $22 +$5 +22%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 24 $15 +$8 +50%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 24 $5 +$10 +188%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 24 $93 −$80 -85%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 24 $202 −$152 -76%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Q May 24 $122 −$94 -78%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 24 $112 −$112 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 24 $152 +$33 +22%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 24 $5 +$1 +21%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner May 23 $3 +$2 +90%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner May 23 $2 +$1 +36%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner May 23 $1 +$1 +72%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 20 $100 +$12 +12%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 19 $354 +$59 +17%
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season May 19 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner May 19 $101 −$101 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$413
world 7% −$1,373
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner SELL Cloud9 7¢ $2 22m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Cloud9 17¢ $5 24m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 53¢ $20 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 100¢ $14 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $29 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 69¢ $20 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 72¢ $10 3h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $47 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 83¢ $20 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 86¢ $20 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 56¢ $10 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 86¢ $10 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 84¢ $20 13h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $77 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $12 13h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 71¢ $10 13h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 83¢ $10 14h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $50 14h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $20 29h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 28¢ $10 30h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $10 47h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $28 2d
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 85¢ $5 2d
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner SELL Eintracht Spandau 7¢ $2 2d
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Anubis Gaming 100¢ $14 2d
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner SELL Solary 100¢ $12 2d
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner SELL UCAM Esports Club 6¢ $1 2d
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 12¢ $3 2d
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 24¢ $5 2d
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 71¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -16.7% -24.7% 53% 50% -25.0%
≤30d 83 +3.9% -6.0% 63% 58% -12.6%
≤90d 170 +3.2% -6.6% 62% 58% -17.6%
all 184 +3.2% -6.6% 62% 58% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.6% 58% -17.5%
10% -15.5% 42% -25.4%
15% -23.7% 33% -32.6%
20% -31.2% 21% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.72 · official $37.72 (match) · 472 history records