trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | -43.3% | -48.7% | 23% | 14% | -19.3% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -43.3% | -48.7% | 23% | 14% | -19.3% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -40.4% | -46.1% | 26% | 17% | -16.1% |
| all | 29 | -36.6% | -42.6% | 31% | 21% | -18.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -42.6% | 21% | -18.1% |
| 10% | -48.1% | 21% | -25.9% |
| 15% | -53.1% | 14% | -33.1% |
| 20% | -57.7% | 10% | -39.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 67¢ | 38¢ | $234 | $131 | −$103 (-44%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria? | Yes | 17¢ | 30¢ | $20 | $35 | +$15 (+74%) |
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) | Croatia | 41¢ | 42¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Over | 55¢ | 56¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 37¢ | 74¢ | $10 | $20 | +$10 (+101%) |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 28¢ | 20¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-27%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 6¢ | $12 | $6 | −$6 (-48%) |
| Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $1 | −$4 (-78%) |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 16¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-94%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $133 | +$7 | +6% |
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $202 | +$16 | +8% |
| Spread: New Zealand (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score | Jun 22 | $20 | −$1 | -7% |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5 | Jun 22 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $3 | +$12 | +388% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan? | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $10 | +$18 | +172% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 0 Morocco? | Jun 19 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 1 Morocco? | Jun 19 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $10 | +$8 | +79% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 | Jun 19 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Apr 26 | $55 | +$13 | +24% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Mar 23 | $50 | +$2 | +3% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | Mar 23 | $24 | +$8 | +35% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Mar 23 | $15 | +$5 | +36% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Mar 23 | $13 | −$1 | -6% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Mar 22 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Mar 22 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |