Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x07fb…ba57
crypto · 214 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$101 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$98 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$98
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses86 / 127
Open positions1
Markets (closed)213 / 214
History coverage15d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day69.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 213 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$72
14 days−$75
30 days−$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$4 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $35 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $29 −$4 -13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$101
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 142 -17.6% -25.4% 39% 11% -13.6%
≤30d 213 -9.7% -18.3% 40% 12% -12.8%
≤90d 213 -9.7% -18.3% 40% 12% -12.8%
all 213 -9.7% -18.3% 40% 12% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 12% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 6% -21.2%
15% -33.3% 5% -28.8%
20% -39.8% 5% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.03 · official $0.03 (match) · 1288 history records