Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:56:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x07f7…c333
crypto · 168 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$67 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$67 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$67
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses80 / 88
Open positions0
Markets (closed)168 / 168
History coverage47d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day12.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 168 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$24
14 days−$24
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$11 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 30 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET May 29 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET May 29 $8 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET May 29 $8 −$8 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 28 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 28 $18 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 28 $12 −$6 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 28 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 28 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 28 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 28 $4 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 21 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 21 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 21 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 21 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET May 21 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET May 21 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET May 20 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 20 $4 +$6 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET May 20 $9 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 20 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 20 $6 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 20 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 20 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 20 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 20 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 20 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 20 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 20 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 20 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 20 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 20 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 20 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET May 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 06 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 06 $4 +$1 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -20.1% -27.7% 62% 38% -24.9%
≤30d 47 -29.6% -36.3% 45% 32% -28.8%
≤90d 168 -13.4% -21.6% 48% 43% -18.2%
all 168 -13.4% -21.6% 48% 43% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.6% 43% -18.2%
10% -29.1% 33% -26.0%
15% -36.0% 24% -33.1%
20% -42.2% 17% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 650 history records