Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:40:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x07f7…c2aa
sports · 119 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$31 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$11
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses45 / 74
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)119 / 119
History coverage18d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day15.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 119 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$9
14 days−$28
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 82¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+21%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 80¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $7 +$1 +19%
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 12 $7 +$1 +20%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $2 $0 -13%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $2 $0 +11%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $2 $0 -13%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $2 $0 +21%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $2 $0 -16%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 10 $2 $0 +19%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $2 $0 -15%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Lukas Pokorny Jun 10 $2 $0 +12%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $2 $0 +11%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Andrej Martin Jun 10 $2 $0 -4%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Yosuke Watanuki Jun 08 $2 $0 -14%
ITF Caltanissetta: Massimo Giunta vs Luca Potenza Jun 07 $2 $0 +11%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $2 $0 -14%
Libema Open, Qualification: James McCabe vs Alexander Maarten Jong Jun 07 $2 $0 +10%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Tatjana Maria vs Yuriko Miyazaki Jun 07 $2 $0 -23%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovi Jun 07 $2 $0 -11%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Hannah Klugman Jun 07 $3 $0 -1%
Centurion 2: Philip Henning vs Alexander Donski Jun 07 $2 $0 -10%
Perugia: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino Jun 06 $2 $0 -25%
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Liam Draxl Jun 06 $2 $0 +13%
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 06 $2 $0 -12%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Daniil Glinka Jun 06 $2 $0 +16%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Stefanos Sakellaridi Jun 06 $2 $0 +12%
Libema Open, Qualification: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Lin Zhu Jun 06 $2 $0 -6%
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Karolina Muchova Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Chong/Erjavec vs Hunter/McNally Jun 05 $8 −$6 -76%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Sumter: Malaika Rapolu vs Cadence Brace Jun 05 $2 $0 -15%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Remy Bertola Jun 05 $2 $0 +20%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Maxim Mrva Jun 05 $2 $0 +13%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Matilde Jorge vs Viktoria Morvayova Jun 05 $2 $0 +21%
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Mark Lajal Jun 05 $5 −$1 -15%
Makarska: Akasha Urhobo vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 04 $2 $0 -20%
Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatov Jun 03 $13 −$3 -20%
Tyler: Henry Searle vs Mitchell Krueger Jun 03 $2 $0 +11%
Birmingham: Ugo Blanchet vs Felix Gill Jun 03 $5 $0 -8%
Birmingham: Elias Ymer vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 03 $6 −$4 -63%
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Maddison Inglis Jun 03 $2 $0 +21%
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Gina Marie Dittmann vs Jana Otzipka Jun 03 $7 −$3 -40%
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Lucija Bagaric Jun 03 $2 $0 -15%
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Jun 02 $2 $0 -9%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Zsombor Piros Jun 02 $2 $0 +7%
Birmingham: Clement Chidekh vs Filippo Romano Jun 02 $2 $0 -9%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Xiaodi You Jun 02 $9 $0 +2%
Birmingham: Kayla Day vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 02 $7 −$1 -15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Jiri Lehecka 99¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Jiri Lehecka 81¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 79¢ $2 2h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 81¢ $2 2h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 80¢ $2 2h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 80¢ $2 2h
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo SELL Celine Naef 95¢ $2 2h
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Celine Naef 82¢ $2 3h
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Celine Naef 83¢ $2 3h
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Celine Naef 81¢ $2 3h
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Celine Naef 84¢ $2 3h
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren SELL Toby Samuel 72¢ $1 4h
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY Toby Samuel 81¢ $2 4h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 84¢ $2 6h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 86¢ $2 6h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 81¢ $2 6h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 86¢ $2 7h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse SELL Barbora Krejcikova 94¢ $2 8h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Barbora Krejcikova 84¢ $2 8h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel SELL Barbora Krejcikova 96¢ $2 29h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Barbora Krejcikova 86¢ $2 29h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli SELL Jesper de Jong 76¢ $2 29h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli BUY Jesper de Jong 86¢ $2 30h
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova SELL Magda Linette 99¢ $2 31h
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan SELL Marco Trungelliti 68¢ $1 31h
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova BUY Magda Linette 81¢ $2 31h
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan BUY Marco Trungelliti 80¢ $2 31h
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan SELL Dominika Salkova 94¢ $2 2d
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja SELL Laura Samson 95¢ $2 2d
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan BUY Dominika Salkova 85¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -7.5% -16.3% 45% 36% -20.2%
≤30d 119 -5.8% -14.8% 38% 21% -17.7%
≤90d 119 -5.8% -14.8% 38% 21% -17.7%
all 119 -5.8% -14.8% 38% 21% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.8% 21% -17.7%
10% -22.9% 4% -25.6%
15% -30.4% 3% -32.8%
20% -37.2% 1% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.57 · official $10.57 (match) · 293 history records