trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 0% | 0% | -14.8% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +3.6% | -6.2% | 41% | 24% | -13.0% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -11.9% | -20.3% | 35% | 20% | -13.7% |
| all | 21 | -11.3% | -19.7% | 38% | 19% | -13.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.7% | 19% | -13.7% |
| 10% | -27.4% | 10% | -22.0% |
| 15% | -34.4% | 5% | -29.5% |
| 20% | -40.8% | 0% | -36.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $73 | $73 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $48 | $48 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $26 | $26 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meet | Jun 25 | $39 | −$5 | -13% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele | Jun 25 | $150 | −$6 | -4% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +28% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? | Jun 17 | $46 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 17 | $47 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $126 | −$4 | -3% |
| GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | Jun 05 | $3 | +$1 | +37% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | Jun 05 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $6 | +$1 | +15% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nuno Borges | May 24 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P | May 24 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 08 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January? | Feb 28 | $1 | $0 | +1% |