Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T12:40:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
07 0x07eb…8906 crypto 208 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (414 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$3,105 (+31%) realized +$3,105 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate62%129W / 79L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$48per market
Trades / day413.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (414 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 175 -6.4% -15.3% 62% 9% -10.3%
≤30d 208 -4.6% -13.6% 62% 11% -9.8%
≤90d 208 -4.6% -13.6% 62% 11% -9.8%
all 208 -4.6% -13.6% 62% 11% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover413.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 11% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 4% -18.5%
15% -29.5% 3% -26.3%
20% -36.4% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
81% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -10% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
14.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,105
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses129 / 79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)208 / 208
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$48
Trades / day413.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 208 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $27 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 16 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $42 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 16 $37 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $17 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $53 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 16 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $12 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $26 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $38 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $63 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $83 +$7 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $33 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $77 +$3 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $13 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 28m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records