Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x07e4…186e
sports · 868 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$479 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$476 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$476
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses430 / 434
Est. fees paid−$139
Open positions4
Markets (closed)864 / 868
History coverage109d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day19.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 4 History 864 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days+$107
14 days+$99
30 days−$164
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 39¢ 46¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+16%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 58¢ 88¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+53%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage RUSTEC 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner FURIA 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 51¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BC.Game Esports 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner Heroic 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION Challengers 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Lavked 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Spurs 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Alliance (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs EYEBALLERS 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner 9z 66¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Lavked 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5) 9z 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $27 −$6 -22%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 +$10 +58%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $14 −$14 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $9 +$5 +49%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $20 −$11 -52%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $44 +$12 +27%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $11 −$11 -99%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $10 −$5 -46%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $5 +$7 +128%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 10 $5 +$6 +119%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $5 +$4 +86%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $35 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $61 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $10 +$11 +112%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$14 +69%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$9 +44%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clu Jun 09 $10 −$1 -6%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$4 +76%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$4 -78%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $10 +$12 +118%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $20 +$4 +19%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $20 +$5 +25%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 08 $10 +$3 +29%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$4 +40%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $20 +$12 +60%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $20 +$12 +61%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $71 +$49 +69%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $25 −$15 -59%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $11 −$11 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $21 −$21 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $15 +$9 +62%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $12 −$8 -72%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 −$10 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$83
other 16% −$421
crypto 8% −$28
world 1% +$48
politics 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $2 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $17 8m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $4 26m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 53¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 47¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 57¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 42¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 73¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 58¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 58¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 100¢ $15 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 68¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 20¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 80¢ $14 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 55¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 3¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 54¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 88¢ $21 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 67¢ $16 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 34¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 66¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $16 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 31¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 52¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 57¢ $11 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 47¢ $14 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL TheMongolz 79¢ $14 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $9 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 +2.6% -7.2% 57% 55% +2.1%
≤30d 457 -8.8% -17.5% 50% 47% -11.1%
≤90d 806 -7.4% -16.2% 48% 44% -15.3%
all 864 -5.1% -14.1% 50% 45% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.1% 45% -12.2%
10% -22.3% 40% -20.6%
15% -29.8% 34% -28.3%
20% -36.7% 27% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.19 · official $11.97 (match) · 2266 history records