Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:47:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x07e2…4b9c
sports · 271 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$27,184 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28,077 · open +$867
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13,738
Realized−$28,077
Unrealized+$867
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses122 / 143
Whale WR (big bets)46%
Est. fees paid−$4,078
Open positions6
Markets (closed)265 / 271
History coverage12d
Avg bet$1,124
Trades / day273.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 265 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,044
7 days−$9,929
14 days−$28,077
30 days−$28,077
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 47¢ 30¢ $13,456 $8,511 −$4,945 (-37%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 48¢ 70¢ $2,606 $3,836 +$1,230 (+47%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 33¢ 38¢ $446 $517 +$71 (+16%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 70¢ 90¢ $321 $414 +$94 (+29%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 37¢ 62¢ $126 $208 +$82 (+65%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers 45¢ 16¢ $519 $184 −$335 (-64%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 74¢ 98¢ $25 $33 +$8 (+32%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 17¢ 10¢ $54 $30 −$24 (-44%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 20¢ 2¢ $37 $5 −$32 (-88%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 50¢ 0¢ $54 $1 −$53 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 21¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $80 +$20 +25%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $3,782 −$1,454 -38%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $2,329 +$378 +16%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $64 +$89 +140%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3,677 −$429 -12%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $93 −$39 -42%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $1,072 −$330 -31%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $256 −$256 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $124 −$124 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $2,610 −$56 -2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $828 +$622 +75%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $4,137 +$1,487 +36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $89 −$87 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $3,331 −$1,045 -31%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $678 −$47 -7%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $991 −$146 -15%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $166 +$23 +14%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $3,469 +$583 +17%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $347 +$19 +5%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $122 +$40 +32%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $292 +$42 +14%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $368 +$295 +80%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $611 +$395 +65%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $150 +$28 +18%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,041 −$20 -2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $496 −$496 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $464 −$464 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,935 −$1,838 -95%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $7,925 +$694 +9%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $6,178 +$1,112 +18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $874 −$7 -1%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $914 +$98 +11%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $104 −$104 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4,178 +$2,157 +52%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $97 +$8 +8%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $551 −$47 -8%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $52 −$8 -16%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $701 +$74 +10%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $54 −$54 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $1,689 −$742 -44%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $1,097 +$50 +4%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $145 +$332 +228%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $908 +$101 +11%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $2,082 +$115 +6%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $179 +$48 +27%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $12,255 −$11,865 -97%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $274 −$22 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$27,202
crypto 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 70¢ $83 12m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $84 13m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 68¢ $67 13m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 69¢ $70 13m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 71¢ $84 13m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 72¢ $87 13m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 70¢ $117 13m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 71¢ $122 13m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 69¢ $80 14m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 70¢ $83 14m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 70¢ $84 14m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 72¢ $87 14m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 64¢ $96 16m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 64¢ $98 16m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Detroit Tigers 3¢ $23 16m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 7¢ $57 16m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 52¢ $131 17m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 63¢ $126 18m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 62¢ $10 18m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 62¢ $10 18m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 63¢ $143 18m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 64¢ $670 18m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 64¢ $667 18m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 34¢ $43 19m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 35¢ $46 19m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 35¢ $46 19m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 46¢ $69 20m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 32¢ $119 21m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 34¢ $206 21m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $31 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 135 -8.1% -16.9% 48% 38% -14.9%
≤30d 265 -8.3% -17.0% 46% 36% -18.4%
≤90d 265 -8.3% -17.0% 46% 36% -18.4%
all 265 -8.3% -17.0% 46% 36% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover273.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 36% -18.4%
10% -25.0% 25% -26.3%
15% ← realistic here -32.2% 17% -33.4%
20% -38.9% 12% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13,737.78 · official $13,737.78 (match) · 3500 history records