Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:08:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x07dd…1672
other · 110 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$47 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized−$45
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses22 / 63
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions25
Markets (closed)85 / 110
History coverage71d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 25 History 85 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? Yes 43¢ 44¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 28¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Yes 20¢ 24¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+17%)
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? Yes 28¢ 38¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+34%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? Yes 35¢ 36¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Yes 59¢ 62¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? Yes 56¢ 58¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Yes 55¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? Yes 26¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? Yes 21¢ 16¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? Yes 30¢ 20¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-34%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? Yes 20¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven May 23 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $3 +$2 +62%
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-09? May 09 $4 +$1 +24%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07? May 07 $3 +$2 +83%
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-07? May 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10? May 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-10? May 05 $3 −$1 -51%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-08? May 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? May 05 $1 $0 -12%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09? May 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09? May 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07? May 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? May 04 $6 −$1 -19%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $2 +$3 +123%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $10 +$10 +105%
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? May 03 $3 −$2 -63%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $3 +$4 +152%
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? May 02 $6 $0 -8%
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? May 02 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? May 02 $7 −$6 -98%
Will Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw? May 01 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? May 01 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21? Apr 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? Apr 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw? Apr 21 $4 +$1 +17%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 21 $3 −$2 -53%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20? Apr 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20? Apr 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-19? Apr 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $3 +$4 +146%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $4 +$1 +37%
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? Apr 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18? Apr 19 $2 +$3 +152%
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score Apr 18 $2 $0 -5%
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scor Apr 18 $2 $0 -3%
Brentford FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score Apr 18 $2 $0 -4%
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw? Apr 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16? Apr 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw? Apr 16 $3 −$1 -36%
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio end in a draw? Apr 13 $7 +$1 +21%
Will Como 1907 vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? Apr 12 $4 −$1 -19%
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce end in a draw? Apr 12 $4 +$1 +37%
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Ca Apr 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? Apr 12 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Apr 11 $1 $0 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 61% −$13
sports 37% −$32
crypto 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 1h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 2h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 19h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 56¢ $1 29h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 29h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 55¢ $1 29h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 29h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 33h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 33h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 33h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? SELL Yes 18¢ $0 33h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? SELL Yes 18¢ $0 34h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? SELL Yes 18¢ $0 34h
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 14d
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 18d
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $0 18d
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 18d
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 39¢ $1 19d
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 19d
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 20¢ $0 19d
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 19d
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 19d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 56¢ $1 19d
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 19d
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 20d
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 60¢ $2 20d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 20d
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven BUY Rico 6¢ $1 20d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 20d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-46.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 85 -40.7% -46.4% 26% 25% -26.5%
all 85 -40.7% -46.4% 26% 25% -26.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -46.4% 25% -26.5%
10% -51.5% 21% -33.6%
15% -56.2% 19% -40.0%
20% -60.5% 11% -45.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.74 · official $37.75 (match) · 266 history records