trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +45.7% | +31.8% | 100% | 100% | +31.8% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +45.7% | +31.8% | 100% | 100% | +31.8% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 64% | 55% | -3.3% |
| all | 11 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 64% | 55% | -3.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.4% | 55% | -3.3% |
| 10% | -23.5% | 45% | -12.5% |
| 15% | -30.9% | 36% | -21.0% |
| 20% | -37.7% | 9% | -28.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 71¢ | 72¢ | $68 | $68 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 40¢ | 26¢ | $60 | $39 | −$21 (-35%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 86¢ | 97¢ | $30 | $34 | +$4 (+13%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 83¢ | 82¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 61¢ | 46¢ | $30 | $23 | −$7 (-24%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $13 | $13 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $50 | +$23 | +46% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 | Apr 29 | $5 | −$1 | -28% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 22? | Apr 24 | $20 | +$5 | +22% |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 13? | Apr 12 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Apr 10 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Natio | Apr 02 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation? | Apr 02 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation? | Apr 02 | $10 | +$4 | +37% |
| Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Na | Apr 02 | $10 | +$4 | +41% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap | Apr 01 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Mar 31 | $10 | +$2 | +17% |