trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -61.1% | -64.8% | 17% | 17% | -97.4% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +13.3% | +2.5% | 18% | 18% | -38.4% |
| all | 22 | +13.3% | +2.5% | 18% | 18% | -38.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.5% | 18% | -38.4% |
| 10% | -7.3% | 14% | -44.3% |
| 15% | -16.3% | 14% | -49.6% |
| 20% | -24.5% | 14% | -54.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $1,609 | $1,167 | −$441 (-27%) |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $60 | $126 | +$66 (+110%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | Jun 11 | $501 | −$501 | -100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $7,489 | −$7,489 | -100% |
| Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? | May 25 | $141 | −$109 | -77% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | May 23 | $97 | +$20 | +20% |
| Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC? | May 22 | $100 | −$12 | -12% |
| Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? | May 22 | $435 | −$425 | -98% |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | May 18 | $786 | −$721 | -92% |
| Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15?? | May 14 | $93 | +$111 | +120% |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | May 13 | $61 | −$18 | -30% |
| Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31? | May 13 | $10 | −$4 | -44% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 13 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15? | May 13 | $64 | −$5 | -8% |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? | May 13 | $5,472 | −$5,472 | -100% |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting? | May 07 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid? | May 05 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid? | May 05 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Arsenal FC 3 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid? | May 05 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 202 | May 04 | $123 | +$643 | +523% |
| Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tam | May 04 | $960 | +$8,985 | +936% |
| Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most | May 04 | $178 | −$83 | -47% |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 Arsenal FC? | Apr 30 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? | Apr 30 | $36 | −$36 | -99% |