Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:15:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x07c1…11af
other · 130 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$4 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,642
Realized+$4
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses20 / 109
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)129 / 130
History coverage118d
Avg bet$1,006
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 1 History 129 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$13
14 days−$24
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 100¢ 100¢ $1,643 $1,642 −$1 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 13 $1,587 −$2 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $3,234 −$5 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $1,649 −$3 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 07 $2,785 −$4 -0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $2,300 −$4 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $1,402 −$2 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 04 $2,194 −$3 -0%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 04 $1,241 −$2 -0%
Will Solana reach $110 in May? Jun 04 $481 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May? Jun 04 $807 +$1 +0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 31 $1,075 −$1 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $1,794 −$2 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $619 −$1 -0%
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 27 $615 −$1 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 24 $5,615 −$6 -0%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 22 $2,156 −$3 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 22 $3,018 −$4 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 07 $3,814 −$5 -0%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 07 $1,613 −$2 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 06 $1,594 −$2 -0%
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? May 05 $1,327 −$2 -0%
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? May 05 $1,532 −$2 -0%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 05 $1,620 −$2 -0%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02? May 05 $908 +$665 +73%
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 27 $1,197 −$1 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 22 $1,051 −$1 -0%
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 22 $1,795 −$1 -0%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $1,066 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $2,541 −$3 -0%
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 19 $1,155 −$1 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 18 $1,812 −$2 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 17 $2,271 −$2 -0%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 17 $1,045 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? Apr 16 $1,051 −$1 -0%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 16 $1,146 −$1 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $1,999 −$2 -0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 15 $1,043 −$1 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 15 $424 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 14 $355 $0 -0%
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 13 $1,389 −$1 -0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 13 $377 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 12 $431 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 11 $431 $0 -0%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Apr 10 $260 −$200 -77%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Apr 10 $102 −$3 -3%
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026? Apr 10 $33 −$16 -50%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 08 $795 −$1 -0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? Apr 07 $1,441 −$1 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 06 $365 $0 -0%
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 03 $3,335 −$3 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 40% −$71
other 37% +$473
sports 16% −$350
culture 4% −$6
world 1% −$23
economics 1% −$2
crypto 1% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,643 1h
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1,584 1h
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $1,587 3h
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $1,637 24h
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $1,640 26h
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1,646 29h
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $1,649 31h
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,618 6d
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,620 6d
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $1,291 7d
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $1,293 8d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $1,400 8d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $1,402 8d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $1,393 8d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,395 8d
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $1,239 9d
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $1,241 9d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $552 13d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $553 13d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $651 15d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $652 16d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $618 16d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $619 16d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $522 16d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $523 16d
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $614 17d
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $615 17d
Will Solana reach $110 in May? BUY No 100¢ $481 17d
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $1,006 20d
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $1,007 20d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 17 -0.1% -9.6% 12% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 93 -10.6% -19.1% 10% 6% -9.8%
all 129 -1.3% -10.7% 16% 12% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 12% -9.5%
10% -19.3% 12% -18.2%
15% -27.1% 12% -26.1%
20% -34.2% 8% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,642.43 · official $1,642.43 (match) · 434 history records