Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:11:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x07bd…f143
crypto · 94 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses52 / 42
Open positions0
Markets (closed)94 / 94
History coverage8d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day91.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$30
7 days+$10
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $277 −$8 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $203 −$7 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $499 +$18 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $454 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $380 −$21 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $442 −$42 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $58 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $478 −$42 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $333 +$90 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$6 +570%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $237 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $173 +$37 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $77 −$9 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $250 −$10 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $59 −$26 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $249 +$182 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$5 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $28 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 08 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 08 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 07 $35 +$10 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 07 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 07 $7 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 07 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 07 $8 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 07 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 07 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 07 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 07 $7 +$6 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 07 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $30 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $27 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $12 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $37 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $26 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $9 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $24 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $16 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $11 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $19 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $13 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $31 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $51 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $11 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $17 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $28 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -4.3% -13.4% 51% 43% -9.3%
≤30d 94 -2.8% -12.0% 55% 48% -9.8%
≤90d 94 -2.8% -12.0% 55% 48% -9.8%
all 94 -2.8% -12.0% 55% 48% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover91.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 48% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 27% -18.5%
15% -28.1% 16% -26.3%
20% -35.2% 10% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 857 history records