Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T09:34:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
07 0x07aa…d55b crypto 1090 markets active 0h ago coverage 10d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d only
✗ bot/MM pace (266 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$391 (-7%) realized −$391 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate43%465W / 625L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day265.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$79
14 days−$266
30 days−$266
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$266
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (266 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 383 -4.3% -13.4% 56% 50% -13.4%
≤30d 1090 -2.9% -12.2% 43% 38% -14.0%
≤90d 1090 -2.9% -12.2% 43% 38% -14.0%
all 1090 -2.9% -12.2% 43% 38% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover265.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 38% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 33% -22.2%
15% -28.3% 22% -29.7%
20% -35.3% 10% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×1.03 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$391
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses465 / 625
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1090 / 1090
History coverage10d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day265.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1090 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$2 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +27%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +47%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -88%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$2 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +41%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$2 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$3 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$2 -39%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$2 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$3 -83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$3 -73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $6 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 41m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $5 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records