Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:31:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x07a7…94e6
other · 3 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$10 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$116
Trades / day165.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Yes $0 $0 −$0 (-25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $34 −$2 -6%
Will Tom Kim win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $142 −$8 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 2h
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 2h
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 2h
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 2h
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 2h
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 2h
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 2h
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 2h
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 2h
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 2h
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 2h
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 2h
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 2h
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 2h
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 2h
Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 2h
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 2h
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 2h
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 2h
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 2h
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 2h
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 2h
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 2h
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 2h
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 2h
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 2h
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 2h
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 2h
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL Yes $4 2h
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY Yes $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -5.9% -14.8% 0% 0% -14.8%
≤30d 2 -5.9% -14.8% 0% 0% -14.8%
≤90d 2 -5.9% -14.8% 0% 0% -14.8%
all 2 -5.9% -14.8% 0% 0% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover165.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 0% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 0% -23.0%
15% -30.4% 0% -30.4%
20% -37.2% 0% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $0.02 (match) · 165 history records