Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:42:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x0783…00d3
sports · 476 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$382 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$382 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$120
Realized−$382
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses156 / 296
Est. fees paid−$84
Open positions24
Markets (closed)452 / 476
History coverage3d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day1086.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 24 History 452 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$181
7 days−$382
14 days−$382
30 days−$382
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 78¢ 78¢ $28 $28 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Germany 84¢ 84¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 75¢ 74¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 80¢ 80¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+0%)
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? No 90¢ 90¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Under 81¢ 81¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Under 77¢ 78¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 92¢ 92¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Qatar 85¢ 86¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 75¢ 74¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 82¢ 81¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Under 76¢ 76¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? No 73¢ 72¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Guido Justo 87¢ 86¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? No 87¢ 88¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 89¢ 90¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? No 73¢ 72¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? No 84¢ 84¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? No 83¢ 82¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5 Under 77¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 88¢ 88¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 83¢ 81¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? No 85¢ 80¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) Spurs 78¢ 77¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Under 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $3 −$1 -46%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $13 −$3 -21%
Morocco leading at halftime? Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $6 $0 -6%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $6 −$1 -24%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $41 −$5 -13%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $27 −$1 -3%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $3 $0 -11%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $21 +$2 +8%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $23 −$3 -12%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $48 $0 -1%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $8 $0 -2%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $49 −$5 -9%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $11 −$1 -12%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $22 +$4 +18%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $6 $0 -4%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $12 $0 -3%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $13 +$1 +5%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $67 −$27 -40%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $8 +$1 +15%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $11 +$2 +17%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $32 +$1 +2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +8%
Spread: Knicks (-9.5) Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $43 +$5 +11%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $55 −$15 -27%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $12 −$1 -10%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $12 −$3 -26%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$385
other 5% +$2
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 79¢ $3 0m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 79¢ $3 1m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez SELL Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 45¢ $2 5m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones SELL Jack Pinnington Jones 82¢ $2 7m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 82¢ $3 7m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones SELL Jack Pinnington Jones 80¢ $1 7m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 81¢ $3 8m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 78¢ $3 20m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 78¢ $3 22m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 42¢ $2 30m
Morocco leading at halftime? SELL No 85¢ $2 32m
Morocco leading at halftime? BUY No 86¢ $2 32m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 65¢ $3 40m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 70¢ $3 40m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 84¢ $3 1h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 85¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 80¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 80¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 70¢ $3 1h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel SELL Taro Daniel 55¢ $5 1h
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY No 88¢ $2 1h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 71¢ $3 1h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 71¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 99¢ $4 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 77¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Marcos Giron 54¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 82¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Marcos Giron 53¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 71¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch SELL Darwin Blanch 80¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 452 -8.1% -16.8% 35% 22% -15.2%
≤30d 452 -8.1% -16.8% 35% 22% -15.2%
≤90d 452 -8.1% -16.8% 35% 22% -15.2%
all 452 -8.1% -16.8% 35% 22% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1086.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 22% -15.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 11% -23.3%
15% -32.1% 5% -30.7%
20% -38.7% 2% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $120.14 · official $120.14 (match) · 2912 history records