trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -7.3% | -16.1% | 0% | 0% | -11.1% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 21% | 7% | -11.4% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 21% | 7% | -11.4% |
| all | 26 | -4.3% | -13.5% | 42% | 4% | -12.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.5% | 4% | -12.6% |
| 10% | -21.7% | 4% | -20.9% |
| 15% | -29.3% | 0% | -28.6% |
| 20% | -36.2% | 0% | -35.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | Jun 25 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | Jun 24 | $6 | −$2 | -31% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 24 | $6 | $0 | -6% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 24 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 23 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 04 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 31 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 30 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 29 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 29 | $51 | −$8 | -15% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 29 | $6 | +$1 | +23% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 28 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 27 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 27 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jul 22 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? | Jun 26 | $16 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June? | May 27 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'My Hero Academia: You’re Next' win Crunchyroll's Film of the Yea | May 26 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | May 23 | $16 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after th | May 09 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Alliance for a Great Albania win the most seats in the next A | May 08 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon buy TikTok? | May 08 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025? | May 08 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Bryant vs. Vermont | Mar 03 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |