Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:50:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x076d…8d4c
sports · 695 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$17,453 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,873 · open −$4,580
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$370,712
Realized−$12,873
Unrealized−$4,580
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses268 / 292
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$4,827
Open positions135
Markets (closed)560 / 695
History coverage10d
Avg bet$1,047
Trades / day306.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 135 History 560 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15,524
7 days−$12,849
14 days−$12,873
30 days−$12,873
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $192,201 $192,974 +$773 (+0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 50¢ 54¢ $49,754 $53,012 +$3,258 (+7%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 52¢ 52¢ $20,915 $21,100 +$185 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 42¢ $20,692 $20,899 +$207 (+1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $13,131 $13,260 +$129 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 100¢ $4,047 $8,606 +$4,559 (+113%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? No 83¢ 82¢ $5,152 $5,121 −$31 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 56¢ $4,499 $4,628 +$129 (+3%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Ben Shelton 61¢ 46¢ $4,568 $3,485 −$1,083 (-24%)
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 56¢ $3,318 $3,288 −$30 (-1%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? No 49¢ 52¢ $2,865 $3,087 +$222 (+8%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 27¢ 54¢ $1,528 $3,067 +$1,539 (+101%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 49¢ 48¢ $2,659 $2,584 −$76 (-3%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Over 74¢ 76¢ $1,512 $1,543 +$31 (+2%)
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $1,436 $1,468 +$32 (+2%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $1,513 $1,459 −$54 (-4%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $1,441 $1,439 −$2 (-0%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Over 46¢ 46¢ $1,406 $1,390 −$15 (-1%)
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Canada 49¢ 50¢ $1,289 $1,322 +$32 (+3%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Team WE 49¢ 48¢ $1,208 $1,202 −$6 (-0%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Gen.G 51¢ 50¢ $1,179 $1,168 −$12 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $1,087 $1,094 +$7 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? No 90¢ 90¢ $1,085 $1,089 +$4 (+0%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5 Under 51¢ 48¢ $1,131 $1,083 −$48 (-4%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? No 96¢ 96¢ $998 $1,000 +$2 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $274 −$5 -2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $386 −$94 -24%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $235 +$123 +52%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $69 +$6 +8%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $112 +$13 +12%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $125 +$13 +11%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $115 +$131 +114%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $741 −$319 -43%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1,224 +$132 +11%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $867 −$767 -88%
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Benjamin O'connell Jun 12 $58 −$56 -98%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin Jun 12 $37 +$3 +8%
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira end in a draw? Jun 12 $39 +$81 +206%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Jun 12 $288 +$42 +14%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 12 $77 −$76 -99%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $760 +$1,293 +170%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $1,223 +$1,823 +149%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $72 +$23 +32%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $377 +$300 +80%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 12 $538 +$823 +153%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $1,146 −$1,127 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $95 −$91 -96%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $3,290 −$3,196 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $99 +$61 +62%
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 12 $2,681 −$580 -22%
Spread: FC Bayern Munchen (-8.5) Jun 12 $73 −$72 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $428 −$419 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $17 −$17 -98%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $48 −$45 -93%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $102 −$101 -98%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $459 −$91 -20%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $753 +$97 +13%
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $828 +$739 +89%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +11%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 −$102 -99%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $323 −$222 -69%
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) Jun 12 $105 +$84 +80%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $3,367 +$3,374 +100%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $175 −$173 -99%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $128 −$19 -15%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $975 −$522 -54%
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $115 −$113 -98%
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Jun 12 $58 −$57 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $60 +$66 +110%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $1,359 +$122 +9%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $1,538 +$879 +57%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $10,824 −$7,528 -70%
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Set Handicap: Blanch (-1.5) vs Rocha (+1.5) Jun 12 $27 +$11 +42%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $351 −$75 -21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% −$763
crypto 27% +$772
other 22% −$17,461
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 80¢ $123 4m
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves BUY Carolina Alves 86¢ $42 6m
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) BUY Toronto Tempo 54¢ $640 7m
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 51¢ $21 9m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $4 10m
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves BUY Carolina Alves 83¢ $27 15m
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves BUY Carolina Alves 83¢ $36 15m
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Team WE 49¢ $239 26m
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Team WE 49¢ $801 27m
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 51¢ $1,196 28m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $242 29m
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves BUY Carolina Alves 85¢ $43 31m
Will CD Concepción vs. CD Limache end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $4 33m
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 53¢ $3 36m
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez BUY Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 43¢ $16 38m
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez BUY Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 43¢ $20 38m
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez BUY Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 43¢ $20 38m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 76¢ $389 40m
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez BUY Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 55¢ $58 40m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $583 47m
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $115 50m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $34 52m
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $157 54m
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez BUY Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 15¢ $24 56m
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez BUY Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 15¢ $24 56m
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez BUY Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 15¢ $44 56m
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez BUY Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 13¢ $255 56m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $34 59m
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 BUY Over 22¢ $0 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 BUY Over 22¢ $32 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 544 -6.9% -15.8% 49% 44% -12.8%
≤30d 560 -8.1% -16.9% 48% 44% -12.8%
≤90d 560 -8.1% -16.9% 48% 44% -12.8%
all 560 -8.1% -16.9% 48% 44% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover306.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 44% -12.8%
10% -24.8% 37% -21.2%
15% ← realistic here -32.1% 31% -28.8%
20% -38.8% 26% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $370,712.34 · official $370,712.41 (match) · 3248 history records