Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:25:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x0760…d2c9
crypto · 240 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$401 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$410 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$410
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses102 / 137
Open positions1
Markets (closed)239 / 240
History coverage8d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day415.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 239 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$702
7 days−$403
14 days−$410
30 days−$410
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 26¢ 46¢ $12 $21 +$9 (+78%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $96 +$79 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$81 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $55 +$50 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$13 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $108 +$99 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $109 +$19 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$82 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$61 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$61 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$99 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $70 +$43 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 +$32 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$62 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $108 +$33 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $97 +$60 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$10 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$81 -81%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$401
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $8 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $9 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 236 -4.8% -13.9% 43% 38% -13.5%
≤30d 239 -6.0% -15.0% 43% 38% -13.6%
≤90d 239 -6.0% -15.0% 43% 38% -13.6%
all 239 -6.0% -15.0% 43% 38% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover415.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 38% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 36% -21.8%
15% -30.5% 32% -29.4%
20% -37.3% 31% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.29 · official $21.29 (match) · 3469 history records