Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x075e…8574
crypto · 137 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$228 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$228 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$228
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses90 / 47
Open positions0
Markets (closed)137 / 137
History coverage10d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day76.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 137 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$235
7 days−$219
14 days−$228
30 days−$228
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $200 +$52 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$39 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $213 −$184 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $234 +$26 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $239 −$159 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $202 −$183 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$19 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$29 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $149 +$102 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$42 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $109 +$60 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $264 −$7 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$96 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $343 −$52 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$41 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $234 +$123 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $209 +$111 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$41 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$80 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $123 +$17 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$66 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $201 −$119 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $174 −$40 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $268 +$43 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $265 −$10 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $91 −$89 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $110 −$93 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $197 −$120 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $161 −$147 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$46 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $495 +$188 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $141 +$34 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $367 +$66 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 09 $64 −$63 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 09 $31 +$9 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $31 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 09 $69 +$25 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 09 $54 −$52 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 09 $44 +$12 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $69 +$18 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 09 $27 −$26 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $62 −$61 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $58 +$27 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $24 +$10 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $16 +$4 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$228
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $40 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $47 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $48 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $47 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $45 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $32 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $30 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $49 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $46 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $41 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $47 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $49 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 133 -1.0% -10.4% 66% 65% -11.3%
≤30d 137 -2.4% -11.7% 66% 64% -11.3%
≤90d 137 -2.4% -11.7% 66% 64% -11.3%
all 137 -2.4% -11.7% 66% 64% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 64% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 56% -19.8%
15% -27.9% 31% -27.6%
20% -34.9% 23% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 870 history records