Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T21:12:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
07 0x075e…a7d8 crypto 1372 markets active 2h ago coverage 18d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d only
✗ bot/MM pace (193 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,445 (-14%) realized −$1,445 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate47%728W / 811L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day193.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,756
7 days−$1,574
14 days−$1,302
30 days−$1,205
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$554
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (193 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-24.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1072 -27.4% -34.3% 39% 35% -34.8%
≤30d 1539 -16.2% -24.1% 47% 42% -19.4%
≤90d 1539 -16.2% -24.1% 47% 42% -19.4%
all 1539 -16.2% -24.1% 47% 42% -19.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover193.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.1% 42% -19.4%
10% ← realistic here -31.4% 35% -27.1%
15% -38.0% 25% -34.1%
20% -44.1% 16% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +9% → late -42% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,445
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses728 / 811
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1539 / 1372
History coverage18d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day193.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1539 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 29 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 29 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$3 -1120%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 29 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 29 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 29 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 29 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 29 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 29 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $9 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $9 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.93 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records