Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:52:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
07 0x074f…b0dd crypto 95 markets active 1h ago coverage 18d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnoverP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (148 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)
Total PnL +$2,764 (+1%) realized +$2,764 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +43% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +6% what you keep after slip
Net edge+6%after slip
Net WR62%break-even
Win rate65%62W / 33L
Whale WR62%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,993per market
Trades / day148.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$622
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (148 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+29.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +9.4% -1.0% 62% 61% -21.8%
≤30d 95 +42.8% +29.2% 65% 62% -10.3%
≤90d 95 +42.8% +29.2% 65% 62% -10.3%
all 95 +42.8% +29.2% 65% 62% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover148.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +29.2% 62% -10.3%
10% +16.9% 61% -18.9%
15% ← realistic here +5.6% 61% -26.7%
20% -4.8% 61% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +43% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 62% (≥$2,124) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +79% → late +7% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
28.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,195 vs −$2,227 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,764
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses62 / 33
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)95 / 95
History coverage18d
Avg bet$1,993
Trades / day148.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 95 Trades
no open positions (31 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $2,751 −$733 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $503 −$488 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $699 −$686 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $1,433 −$1,398 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $667 +$502 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $398 +$284 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $2,224 −$2,190 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $1,369 +$1,055 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $1,686 +$1,299 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $1,207 +$1,000 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $1,886 −$1,862 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $558 +$500 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $1,178 +$928 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $2,106 −$2,043 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $437 +$310 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $2,115 −$2,115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $1,215 +$850 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $4,960 −$60 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $181 +$140 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $217 +$177 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $178 +$96 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1,780 +$1,479 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $450 −$443 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $836 −$821 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $357 +$237 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1,332 −$1,291 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $999 +$672 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $1,040 +$718 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3,633 +$3,107 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $817 +$583 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1,279 +$958 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1,183 +$927 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $942 +$679 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $757 −$733 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $806 +$658 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1,121 +$873 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2,756 +$2,291 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $389 −$378 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1,058 −$1,030 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2,710 +$158 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2,129 +$1,855 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1,123 +$813 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1,152 +$181 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $278 −$278 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $734 −$711 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1,356 +$1,020 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1,722 −$1,685 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $532 +$416 +78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1,241 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1,510 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $503 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $94 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $395 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $17 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $189 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $968 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $106 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $236 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $118 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $16 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $434 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $217 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $7 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $20 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $82 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $7 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $8 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $46 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $8 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $19 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $19 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $8 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2772 history records