trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +46.0% | +32.1% | 64% | 64% | +56.4% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +22.9% | +11.2% | 60% | 53% | +41.5% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +16.4% | +5.3% | 65% | 48% | +54.5% |
| all | 29 | +14.0% | +3.1% | 72% | 41% | +53.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.1% | 41% | +53.4% |
| 10% | -6.7% | 34% | +38.7% |
| 15% | -15.8% | 31% | +25.3% |
| 20% | -24.0% | 31% | +13.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Portugal | 68¢ | 68¢ | $150 | $151 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 | Over | 62¢ | 62¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5 | Over | 36¢ | 34¢ | $97 | $93 | −$4 (-4%) |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5 | Under | 58¢ | 57¢ | $70 | $69 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 52¢ | 52¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Over | 57¢ | 56¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 39¢ | 38¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Ghana | 38¢ | 38¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Spread: Croatia (-2.5) | Croatia | 22¢ | 22¢ | $47 | $46 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $30 | $32 | +$2 (+6%) |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana? | Yes | 15¢ | 16¢ | $30 | $31 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $30 | $31 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway to score first vs. Senegal? | Jun 23 | $51 | +$44 | +86% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 1.5 | Jun 23 | $51 | +$63 | +124% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 23 | $66 | +$59 | +90% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5 | Jun 23 | $51 | +$84 | +165% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 23 | $101 | +$68 | +67% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $102 | +$148 | +146% |
| Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 23 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 Senegal? | Jun 22 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 22 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 Senegal? | Jun 22 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 22 | $3 | +$7 | +229% |
| HSBC Championships, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Aliaksandra Sasnovi | Jun 06 | $50 | −$50 | -99% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $5 | +$2 | +35% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 26 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | May 26 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | May 12 | $2 | −$2 | -74% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | May 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels | Apr 21 | $294 | +$274 | +93% |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Apr 17 | $147 | +$141 | +96% |
| Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | Apr 13 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Wizards vs. Magic | Apr 13 | $2 | $0 | +15% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | Apr 13 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March? | Apr 13 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Wizards vs. Hawks | Mar 10 | $3 | $0 | +15% |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 | Mar 10 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | Mar 10 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | Feb 24 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66? | Feb 24 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? | Jan 23 | $1 | $0 | +1% |