Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T08:02:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
07 0x0749…fd66 crypto 1343 markets active 0h ago coverage 78d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 77d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$140 (-2%) realized −$140 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate71%958W / 385L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day30.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$186
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 +1.7% -8.0% 49% 49% -7.7%
≤30d 78 +1.7% -8.0% 49% 49% -7.7%
≤90d 1343 -3.4% -12.6% 71% 33% -12.3%
all 1343 -3.4% -12.6% 71% 33% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 33% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 22% -20.7%
15% -28.6% 17% -28.4%
20% -35.6% 13% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
52% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.32 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

78d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$140
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses958 / 385
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1343 / 1343
History coverage78d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day30.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1343 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -81%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -48%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -82%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -43%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -64%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -91%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +84%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -92%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $1 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $0 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 46m
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records