Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x0739…3b2e
other · 18 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses8 / 9
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)17 / 18
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day12.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 1 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 84¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 +$4 +430%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $3 +$1 +48%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -55%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 +$2 +226%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -81%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +109%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6 +$10 +158%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -86%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 87% −$5
sports 13% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 98¢ $5 15m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 99¢ $4 29m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 84¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 27¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 60¢ $2 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $5 2h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $3 5h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 7h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 41¢ $2 7h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 7h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 84¢ $20 10h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 26h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $21 26h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 28h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 28h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 28h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 29h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $16 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $6 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $14 2d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +16.5% +5.4% 47% 47% -14.9%
≤30d 17 +16.5% +5.4% 47% 47% -14.9%
≤90d 17 +16.5% +5.4% 47% 47% -14.9%
all 17 +16.5% +5.4% 47% 47% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +5.4% 47% -14.9%
10% -4.7% 47% -23.1%
15% -13.9% 41% -30.5%
20% -22.3% 29% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 32 history records