Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:41:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
07 0x0736…99ee crypto 66 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (163 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$14 (+4%) realized +$14 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate50%33W / 33L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day162.6pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 80% −$1
sports 20% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (163 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -14.9% -23.0% 50% 41% -8.4%
≤30d 66 -14.9% -23.0% 50% 41% -8.4%
≤90d 66 -14.9% -23.0% 50% 41% -8.4%
all 66 -14.9% -23.0% 50% 41% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover162.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.0% 41% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -30.3% 27% -17.2%
15% -37.1% 24% -25.2%
20% -43.2% 21% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 38% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
18% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -21% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×1.03 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses33 / 33
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)66 / 66
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day162.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 66 Trades
no open positions (28 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $19 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$4 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +87%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $6 +$4 +62%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $13 +$10 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 290 history records