Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:03:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x072f…ff17
crypto · 92 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$30 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$27 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized+$27
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses36 / 41
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions15
Markets (closed)77 / 92
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day81.1
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 15 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$28
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? Yes 50¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No 12¢ 12¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 41¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? No 1¢ 0¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup? Yes 44¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? No 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 +$5 +442%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -92%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -87%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +134%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +55%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 52% −$10
other 43% +$37
economics 3% −$1
sports 2% $0
weather 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 50¢ $5 1h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 50¢ $5 1h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY Yes 0¢ $1 2h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY Yes 0¢ $1 2h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY No 0¢ $1 2h
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 3h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 3h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 71¢ $2 3h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $2 3h
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 61¢ $2 3h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 11h
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? BUY No 12¢ $2 14h
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? BUY No 12¢ $1 14h
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? BUY No 12¢ $2 14h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY No 1¢ $1 14h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY Yes 0¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -2.8% -12.0% 47% 44% +9.9%
≤30d 77 -2.8% -12.0% 47% 44% +9.9%
≤90d 77 -2.8% -12.0% 47% 44% +9.9%
all 77 -2.8% -12.0% 47% 44% +9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover81.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 44% +9.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 43% -0.6%
15% -28.1% 38% -10.2%
20% -35.2% 31% -19.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.94 · official $38.90 (match) · 221 history records