Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x072c…ac4a
sports · 371 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
+$90 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$70 · open +$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Net worth$95
Realized+$70
Unrealized+$22
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses272 / 96
Est. fees paid−$45
Open positions3
Markets (closed)368 / 371
History coverage186d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 3 History 368 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days+$72
14 days−$25
30 days+$136
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 68¢ 100¢ $47 $70 +$23 (+48%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$6 +26%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $71 −$3 -4%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $18 +$4 +25%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $36 +$17 +46%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $61 −$38 -63%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 +$3 +18%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $29 +$2 +7%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $14 −$12 -88%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $40 +$39 +99%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $36 +$34 +95%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $19 +$11 +57%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $40 −$40 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $51 −$47 -93%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $24 +$16 +64%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $90 +$3 +4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $67 +$23 +34%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $43 +$1 +3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $12 +$5 +44%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $44 +$26 +60%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $47 +$3 +6%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $41 +$12 +30%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $81 −$1 -1%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $24 +$6 +24%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $18 +$1 +5%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $45 +$7 +15%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $9 +$1 +7%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $15 +$4 +27%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $78 +$4 +5%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner May 31 $66 −$6 -9%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $15 +$5 +38%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 31 $18 +$1 +4%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $27 +$4 +16%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner May 31 $39 +$14 +34%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 30 $8 +$1 +17%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner May 30 $39 +$15 +37%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner May 30 $17 −$10 -61%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 Winner May 30 $31 −$27 -90%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 30 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner May 30 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner May 30 $62 −$62 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner May 30 $35 −$9 -24%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 26 $21 +$9 +44%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 26 $16 +$4 +24%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs May 26 $34 +$3 +8%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 4 Winner May 26 $49 +$13 +26%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 25 $130 +$23 +18%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner May 24 $28 +$2 +7%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 24 $24 +$6 +27%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner May 24 $9 $0 +3%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 24 $46 −$3 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$215
crypto 4% −$57
other 3% −$46
tech 0% −$19
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 90¢ $9 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 87¢ $9 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 66¢ $13 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 55¢ $17 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $30 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 80¢ $8 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 79¢ $16 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $50 3h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $20 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 30¢ $18 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 81¢ $16 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $6 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $25 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 74¢ $22 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $50 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 75¢ $8 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 24¢ $2 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 60¢ $18 5h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 23¢ $2 6h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 77¢ $8 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 97¢ $13 10h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 88¢ $3 10h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 11¢ $0 10h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 12¢ $2 10h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 87¢ $9 10h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 12¢ $2 10h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes $0 10h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 15¢ $0 10h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes $0 10h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes $4 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +12.5% +1.8% 75% 54% -2.6%
≤30d 91 +9.1% -1.3% 78% 60% -4.9%
≤90d 255 +3.0% -6.8% 73% 47% -9.0%
all 368 +1.3% -8.3% 74% 38% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 38% -9.1%
10% -17.1% 17% -17.8%
15% -25.1% 9% -25.7%
20% -32.4% 4% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $94.93 · official $94.93 (match) · 1389 history records