| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 |
Jun 23 |
$48 |
+$1 |
+2% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? |
Jun 23 |
$32 |
−$2 |
-5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? |
Jun 21 |
$20 |
−$2 |
-12% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? |
Jun 19 |
$27 |
+$5 |
+17% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Jun 18 |
$393 |
$0 |
-0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
Jun 17 |
$128 |
$0 |
-0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Jun 15 |
$113 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by |
Jun 15 |
$21 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? |
Jun 15 |
$69 |
+$3 |
+5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? |
Jun 14 |
$142 |
+$4 |
+3% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Jun 14 |
$20 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? |
Jun 13 |
$5 |
$0 |
+7% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia |
Jun 13 |
$100 |
−$5 |
-4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
Jun 12 |
$244 |
+$3 |
+1% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? |
Jun 08 |
$7 |
$0 |
+4% |
| Will Alberta join the US? |
Jun 05 |
$337 |
+$1 |
+0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Jun 05 |
$34 |
$0 |
+0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? |
May 31 |
$104 |
+$4 |
+4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? |
May 31 |
$6 |
+$2 |
+28% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? |
May 30 |
$206 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma |
May 30 |
$2 |
$0 |
-25% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? |
May 29 |
$189 |
+$6 |
+3% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? |
May 29 |
$32 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? |
May 28 |
$7 |
−$3 |
-42% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? |
May 27 |
$391 |
+$3 |
+1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? |
May 25 |
$112 |
−$2 |
-2% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
May 23 |
$94 |
$0 |
-0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra |
May 22 |
$103 |
$0 |
+0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? |
May 20 |
$21 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? |
May 18 |
$100 |
−$6 |
-6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? |
May 17 |
$86 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? |
May 17 |
$56 |
+$1 |
+1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? |
May 17 |
$1 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? |
May 16 |
$5 |
+$1 |
+20% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Apr 24 |
$75 |
+$8 |
+11% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? |
Apr 24 |
$230 |
+$1 |
+0% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? |
Apr 23 |
$539 |
−$2 |
-0% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Apr 23 |
$659 |
−$1 |
-0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Apr 23 |
$6 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
Apr 22 |
$69 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
Apr 21 |
$61 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? |
Dec 15 |
$2 |
$0 |
+3% |
| Will Esteban Ocon finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? |
Jun 24 |
$1 |
$0 |
-4% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election? |
Jun 05 |
$27 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? |
Jun 03 |
$26 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Sam Altman buy TikTok? |
Jun 03 |
$27 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? |
Jun 01 |
$27 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship? |
May 31 |
$27 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31? |
May 31 |
$26 |
$0 |
+0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? |
May 30 |
$1 |
$0 |
+1% |