trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 05 | $62 | −$5 | -9% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -96.0% | -96.4% | 0% | 0% | -96.4% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -96.0% | -96.4% | 0% | 0% | -96.4% |
| ≤90d | 1 | -96.0% | -96.4% | 0% | 0% | -96.4% |
| all | 2 | -81.7% | -83.5% | 0% | 0% | -76.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -83.5% | 0% | -76.7% |
| 10% | -85.1% | 0% | -78.9% |
| 15% | -86.5% | 0% | -80.9% |
| 20% | -87.8% | 0% | -82.8% |