Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T08:02:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
07 0x0715…85e6 other 19 markets active 9h ago coverage 1d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover! limited sample (<25 closed)
Total PnL −$1,696 (-75%) realized −$1,696 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -93% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -94% what you keep after slip
Net edge-94%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 15L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$119per market
Trades / day19.2pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit5%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 95% −$1,722
sports 5% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-93.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -93.1% -93.8% 0% 0% -85.9%
≤30d 15 -93.1% -93.8% 0% 0% -85.9%
≤90d 15 -93.1% -93.8% 0% 0% -85.9%
all 15 -93.1% -93.8% 0% 0% -85.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -93.8% 0% -85.9%
10% -94.4% 0% -87.2%
15% -94.9% 0% -88.5%
20% -95.4% 0% -89.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -84% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -93% · $-wt -84% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -100% → late -87% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$115 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,696
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 15
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)15 / 19
History coverage1d
Avg bet$119
Trades / day19.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit5%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 15 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $291 −$286 -98%
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $154 −$150 -97%
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $308 −$300 -97%
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $308 −$100 -32%
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $308 −$199 -65%
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 18 $87 −$85 -97%
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 18 $56 −$54 -97%
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 18 $72 −$70 -97%
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 18 $72 −$70 -98%
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia? Jun 17 $96 −$94 -98%
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia? Jun 17 $103 −$100 -97%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? Jun 17 $98 −$96 -98%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 DR Congo? Jun 17 $51 −$2 -4%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo? Jun 17 $68 −$66 -97%
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo? Jun 17 $51 −$50 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Korea Republic? AND Exact Score: Canada 3 - BUY 2¢ $10 9h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) AND Spread: Germany (-1.5) AND Spread: Canada (- BUY 18¢ $102 9h
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Korea Republic? AND Exact Score: Canada 3 - BUY 2¢ $21 9h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Korea Republic? AND Exact Score: Canada 3 - BUY 2¢ $10 9h
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 42¢ $291 11h
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 4¢ $154 12h
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 9¢ $308 12h
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 12h
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 3¢ $109 12h
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 10¢ $87 12h
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 7¢ $209 12h
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 8¢ $308 12h
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 9¢ $308 12h
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 10¢ $56 15h
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 11¢ $72 15h
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 13¢ $72 16h
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Croatia? BUY Yes 15¢ $96 36h
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia? BUY Yes 9¢ $103 36h
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? BUY Yes 20¢ $47 38h
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 DR Congo? SELL Yes 2¢ $47 38h
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo? BUY Yes 9¢ $68 39h
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 DR Congo? BUY Yes 2¢ $51 39h
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? BUY Yes 14¢ $51 39h
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo? BUY Yes 10¢ $51 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 24 history records