Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:11:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x0710…9335
sports · 209 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$124 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$191 · open +$36
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$194
Realized−$191
Unrealized+$36
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses69 / 137
Est. fees paid−$184
Open positions3
Markets (closed)206 / 209
History coverage12d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day34.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 206 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$487
7 days+$49
14 days−$191
30 days−$191
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 27¢ 62¢ $84 $193 +$110 (+131%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 11¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 7¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 24¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 54¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 6¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 17¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Mboko vs Pliskova Mboko 26¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) TheMongolz 29¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) Virtus.pro 35¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winner Oxuji Esports 38¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Zverev Mensik 44¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 31¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 41¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Emma Navarro 24¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage SPARTA 29¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 16¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Gauthier Onclin 39¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 M80 25¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner HEROIC Academy 5¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Tallon Griekspoor 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs McCabe (+1.5) Bergs 46¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $44 +$17 +39%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $56 −$54 -97%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $8 −$8 -97%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $36 −$35 -97%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $11 −$11 -97%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $30 −$25 -82%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $105 −$103 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $258 +$32 +12%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $64 +$279 +438%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $86 −$84 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $99 −$97 -98%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $137 −$85 -62%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $95 −$74 -78%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $86 +$27 +31%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $45 −$18 -40%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $70 −$69 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $116 −$114 -98%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $50 +$37 +74%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $102 −$51 -50%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $54 +$70 +129%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $39 −$38 -98%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $48 −$47 -98%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $47 −$46 -97%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $35 +$486 +1396%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $24 −$23 -97%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $101 −$99 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $40 −$39 -97%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $65 −$64 -98%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $182 −$179 -98%
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5) Jun 12 $37 +$45 +122%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $145 −$142 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $109 −$49 -45%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $22 −$22 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $69 +$233 +340%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $99 −$97 -98%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $93 −$61 -65%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $60 +$31 +52%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $44 +$49 +112%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 −$23 -98%
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5) Jun 12 $50 +$53 +106%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $28 −$28 -98%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 12 $21 −$21 -98%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $132 +$215 +162%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $146 +$163 +112%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $30 −$29 -98%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) Jun 11 $40 −$39 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$91
other 1% −$65
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 29¢ $46 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 25¢ $40 1h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 5¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 7¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 97¢ $62 1h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 15¢ $18 2h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 12¢ $37 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $44 2h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 4¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 1¢ $7 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 12¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY BetBoom Team 7¢ $8 3h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 13¢ $46 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 6¢ $36 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 7¢ $11 16h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 7¢ $5 20h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 37¢ $30 20h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 25¢ $55 22h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 22¢ $51 22h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 9¢ $4 22h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 9¢ $7 22h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 5¢ $3 23h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 6¢ $5 23h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 6¢ $13 23h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 94¢ $223 23h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 59¢ $142 23h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 42¢ $142 23h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 31¢ $31 23h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 19¢ $9 24h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 21¢ $43 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 +2.0% -7.7% 35% 35% -8.5%
≤30d 206 -1.9% -11.2% 33% 33% -11.4%
≤90d 206 -1.9% -11.2% 33% 33% -11.4%
all 206 -1.9% -11.2% 33% 33% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 33% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 33% -19.9%
15% -27.5% 33% -27.6%
20% -34.6% 31% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $193.84 · official $193.84 (match) · 426 history records