Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:27:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x0710…06be
crypto · 863 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,887 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,689 · open −$69
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$410
Realized+$3,689
Unrealized−$69
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses401 / 461
Whale WR (big bets)88%
Est. fees paid−$36
Open positions1
Markets (closed)862 / 863
History coverage31d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day89.0
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 862 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,358
7 days+$2,303
14 days+$3,429
30 days+$3,801
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Over 73¢ 62¢ $478 $410 −$69 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $367 $0 −$367 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $172 $0 −$172 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $78 +$82 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $180 +$180 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $132 −$126 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$41 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $78 +$82 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $781 +$697 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $367 −$367 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $172 −$172 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $158 +$167 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $75 −$72 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $181 +$189 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $597 +$558 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $78 +$82 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $176 +$184 +104%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 Jun 14 $880 −$549 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $367 −$367 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $176 −$176 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$39 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $39 +$41 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$20 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$21 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $166 +$165 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$82 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$41 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$20 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$20 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$21 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$27 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $763 +$787 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $361 −$361 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $162 −$162 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% +$3,539
sports 20% +$159
other 2% −$77
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 73¢ $482 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $78 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $100 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $80 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $132 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $17 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $17 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 466 -11.6% -20.0% 42% 42% +1.0%
≤30d 839 -3.4% -12.6% 46% 46% +1.5%
≤90d 862 -2.8% -12.1% 47% 46% +1.0%
all 862 -2.8% -12.1% 47% 46% +1.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover89.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 46% +1.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 45% -8.6%
15% -28.2% 45% -17.5%
20% -35.2% 45% -25.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $409.56 · official $409.56 (match) · 3500 history records