Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:03:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x0705…a86f
crypto · 1062 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$46,017 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56,036 · open −$65
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,435
Realized−$56,036
Unrealized−$65
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses533 / 521
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$227
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1054 / 1062
History coverage79d
Avg bet$502
Trades / day40.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 3 History 1054 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14,302
7 days−$13,468
14 days−$15,696
30 days−$22,955
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1,000 $996 −$4 (-0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $1,000 $948 −$52 (-5%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $500 $491 −$9 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1,800 $0 −$1,800 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $848 $0 −$848 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $588 $0 −$588 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $218 $0 −$218 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $440 $0 −$440 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1,400 $0 −$1,400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1,200 $0 −$1,200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1,237 −$1,200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $425 −$400 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $625 −$600 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1,863 −$1,800 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,236 −$1,200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $628 −$600 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $622 +$612 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $614 +$286 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1,034 +$925 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1,636 +$705 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2,248 −$83 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $841 −$841 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $2,474 −$2,400 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $414 −$400 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1,235 +$527 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1,443 +$813 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,430 −$1,400 -98%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Jun 14 $103 −$103 -100%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $306 −$300 -98%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $1,015 +$1,371 +135%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $510 +$751 +147%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $714 −$700 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $2,268 −$2,200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2,677 +$1,826 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2,690 −$2,610 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1,461 −$1,400 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1,426 −$1,400 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $836 −$800 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1,033 −$1,000 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $417 −$400 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1,444 +$1,068 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1,039 −$1,000 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $625 −$600 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $417 −$400 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1,027 +$582 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $825 −$800 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $409 +$157 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $831 +$964 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1,434 +$349 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $611 −$600 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,224 +$2,689 +220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $616 −$595 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $103 −$23 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,030 +$617 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $619 −$609 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $570 −$291 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $622 +$622 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $314 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $416 +$506 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1,008 +$205 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$60,435
sports 2% +$990
other 2% +$3,378
politics 0% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $206 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $208 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $206 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $205 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $206 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $206 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $110 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $16 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $87 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $212 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $208 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $209 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $208 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $210 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $209 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $207 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $206 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $206 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $206 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $206 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $206 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $206 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $205 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $206 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $206 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $206 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $206 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $206 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $210 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $209 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 -9.2% -17.8% 49% 49% -21.4%
≤30d 225 -10.1% -18.7% 46% 46% -23.9%
≤90d 1054 -5.1% -14.1% 51% 47% -18.7%
all 1054 -5.1% -14.1% 51% 47% -18.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 47% -18.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 42% -26.5%
15% -29.8% 35% -33.6%
20% -36.7% 28% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,434.77 · official $2,834.77 · 3500 history records