Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:31:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
06 0x06fa…becb crypto 454 markets active 1h ago coverage 13d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 12d only
✗ bot/MM pace (244 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,574 (-19%) realized −$1,574 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -32% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -48% what you keep after slip
Net edge-48%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate42%261W / 362L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day243.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,075
7 days−$1,196
14 days−$1,394
30 days−$1,394
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$334
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (244 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-38.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 423 -46.6% -51.7% 35% 20% -42.8%
≤30d 623 -32.2% -38.6% 42% 24% -23.0%
≤90d 623 -32.2% -38.6% 42% 24% -23.0%
all 623 -32.2% -38.6% 42% 24% -23.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover243.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.6% 24% -23.0%
10% ← realistic here -44.5% 11% -30.4%
15% -49.9% 8% -37.1%
20% -54.8% 7% -43.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -15% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -32% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -61% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$6 · ×0.43 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.31 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,574
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses261 / 362
Open positions0
Markets (closed)623 / 454
History coverage13d ⚠
Avg bet$18
Trades / day243.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 623 Trades
no open positions (254 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records