Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:00:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06e3…670f
crypto · 56 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$33 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61
Realized−$34
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses19 / 29
Open positions8
Markets (closed)48 / 56
History coverage133d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 8 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$113
7 days−$113
14 days−$113
30 days−$113
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Yes 31¢ 36¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? Yes 30¢ 36¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Yes 69¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$20 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$20 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +76%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 26? Mar 26 $29 +$7 +26%
Rockets vs. Timberwolves Mar 26 $20 +$9 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Mar 26 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 16? Mar 26 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12? Mar 26 $60 −$60 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 1 Mar 26 $43 −$43 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 17? Mar 26 $40 −$40 -100%
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B Mar 26 $20 −$6 -32%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Mar 26 $20 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? Feb 17 $37 +$3 +8%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 12? Feb 12 $30 +$9 +30%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11? Feb 11 $35 +$7 +21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11? Feb 11 $20 +$14 +70%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 11? Feb 11 $200 +$13 +6%
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs OG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier P Feb 11 $3 +$3 +127%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10? Feb 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-10? Feb 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Feb 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 2PM ET Feb 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Feb 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? Feb 11 $31 +$205 +669%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Feb 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)? Feb 10 $5 −$5 -100%
US government shutdown Saturday? Feb 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5? Feb 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3? Feb 10 $30 −$30 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 10? Feb 10 $31 +$8 +27%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10? Feb 10 $55 +$24 +43%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 9? Feb 09 $67 +$19 +28%
Seahawks vs. Patriots Feb 09 $55 +$13 +24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 8? Feb 09 $22 +$32 +143%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3? Feb 03 $30 +$8 +25%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 3? Feb 03 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2? Feb 02 $10 +$50 +502%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% −$156
sports 14% +$180
other 6% −$43
politics 1% −$10
world 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 56m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 57m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 57m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 31¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 14h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 14h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-23.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -65.4% -68.7% 21% 14% -53.5%
≤30d 14 -65.4% -68.7% 21% 14% -53.5%
≤90d 23 -60.3% -64.0% 22% 17% -62.5%
all 48 -15.9% -23.9% 40% 33% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.9% 33% -11.9%
10% -31.2% 31% -20.3%
15% -37.9% 19% -28.0%
20% -43.9% 15% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.72 · official $60.72 (match) · 141 history records