trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 62% | 6% | -2.8% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 62% | 6% | -2.8% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 62% | 6% | -2.8% |
| all | 16 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 62% | 6% | -2.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -7.6% | 6% | -2.8% |
| 10% | -16.5% | 6% | -12.1% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -24.5% | 6% | -20.6% |
| 20% | -31.9% | 6% | -28.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18? | Yes | 32¢ | 34¢ | $46 | $50 | +$4 (+8%) |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 18? | No | 72¢ | 8¢ | $144 | $16 | −$128 (-89%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18? | Yes | 22¢ | 4¢ | $17 | $3 | −$14 (-84%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18? | Yes | 27¢ | 30¢ | $1 | $2 | +$0 (+9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 17 | $1,015 | −$16 | -2% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $487 | −$25 | -5% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17? | Jun 17 | $430 | +$17 | +4% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $657 | +$68 | +10% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ju | Jun 17 | $254 | +$6 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 17 | $871 | +$2 | +0% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17? | Jun 17 | $9 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1,498 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1,320 | +$680 | +52% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17? | Jun 16 | $18 | −$1 | -3% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 16? | Jun 16 | $1,168 | +$50 | +4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 16 | $638 | −$10 | -2% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 16? | Jun 16 | $129 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele | Jun 15 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $680 | +$20 | +3% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1,820 | +$20 | +1% |