Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06d1…3b0f
crypto · 1360 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$478 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$478 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$478
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses971 / 389
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1360 / 1360
History coverage63d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day33.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1360 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$49
7 days−$47
14 days−$148
30 days−$265
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 48¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 47¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +140%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$2 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$423
sports 12% −$52
other 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -14.0% -22.2% 45% 45% -23.6%
≤30d 460 -6.1% -15.1% 65% 29% -17.3%
≤90d 1360 -6.1% -15.1% 71% 33% -15.1%
all 1360 -6.1% -15.1% 71% 33% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 33% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 22% -23.2%
15% -30.6% 17% -30.7%
20% -37.4% 13% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records