Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:49:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06ca…2305
politics · 17 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$6 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP politics specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)17 / 17
History coverage13d
Avg bet$225
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 0 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$4
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 Jun 13 $229 −$1 -0%
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 Jun 13 $246 $0 -0%
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingd Jun 13 $380 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $240 $0 -0%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $246 $0 -0%
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 11 $240 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 11 $246 $0 -0%
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 11 $230 $0 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 10 $245 $0 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 10 $86 $0 -0%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 09 $232 $0 -0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 09 $248 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $235 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $210 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 03 $30 $0 -1%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 31 $240 $0 -0%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 31 $249 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 69% −$4
other 24% −$1
economics 6% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 SELL No 100¢ $228 1h
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 BUY No 100¢ $229 1h
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 SELL No 100¢ $246 1h
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 BUY No 100¢ $246 2h
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingd SELL No 100¢ $200 2h
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingd BUY No 100¢ $200 2h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $240 28h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $240 29h
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $246 29h
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $246 29h
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $180 46h
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $60 46h
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $240 47h
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $246 47h
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $246 47h
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $230 47h
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $230 3d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $245 3d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $245 3d
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $86 3d
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $86 4d
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $232 4d
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $232 4d
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $248 4d
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $248 4d
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingd SELL No 100¢ $180 10d
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingd BUY No 100¢ $180 10d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $235 10d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $235 10d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $210 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 17 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 17 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
all 17 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 39 history records