Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06c0…89f8
crypto · 1900 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$109 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$109 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$109
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1306 / 594
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1900 / 1900
History coverage53d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day36.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1900 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$75
14 days−$25
30 days+$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 37¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 45¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 47¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 41¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 44¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 48¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 45¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 48¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 48¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 46¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 48¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 52¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 53¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 51¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 53¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 53¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 43¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 42¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 51¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$109
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 224 -8.5% -17.2% 47% 47% -15.5%
≤30d 957 +0.1% -9.4% 51% 51% -7.7%
≤90d 1900 -2.0% -11.3% 69% 30% -9.9%
all 1900 -2.0% -11.3% 69% 30% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 30% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 29% -18.5%
15% -27.6% 29% -26.4%
20% -34.7% 28% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records