Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06c0…222b
crypto · 442 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$79 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$82 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$82
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses217 / 224
Open positions1
Markets (closed)441 / 442
History coverage45d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 441 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$125
7 days+$28
14 days+$66
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$3 (+88%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$1 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$23 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$6 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$6 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$11 +95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$12 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$13 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$20 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$7 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $45 −$25 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$6 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $19 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$75
other 0% −$1
finance 0% $0
world 0% −$1
politics 0% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $10 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $6 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $51 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $31 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 224 -2.9% -12.1% 58% 41% -9.0%
≤30d 409 -6.7% -15.6% 51% 42% -10.4%
≤90d 441 -10.2% -18.7% 49% 40% -10.6%
all 441 -10.2% -18.7% 49% 40% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 40% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 39% -19.2%
15% -33.6% 37% -27.0%
20% -40.1% 36% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.57 · official $6.11 (match) · 1448 history records